February 5, 2040 – 140 meter asteroid 2011 AG5 will have a close approach with the Earth, but we can’t be sure if it will pose any threat until February 3, 2023 – when it makes another close approach; it’s orbit may be altered by the Earths gravitational field as it passes by. NASA scientists and engineers has concluded that the chance of an impact is only one in 500.
Lindley Johnson, of NASA’s Near-Earth Object (NEO) Observation Program, said: “While there is general consensus there is only a very small chance that we could be dealing with a real impact scenario for this object, we will still be watchful and ready to take further action if additional observations indicate it is warranted.”
Just 2 weeks ago, the Secure World Foundation presented a report to the United Nations proposing the creation of an “Information, Analysis and Warning Network” for Near-Earth Objects. I wrote a Blog article about this.
We can’t wait for the next one to hit, before we start thinking about how to avoid being hit by the next one.